Package: EpiNova
Title: Flexible Extended State-Space Epidemiological Models with Modern
        Inference
Version: 0.1.0
Authors@R: 
    person("Subir", "Hait",
           email = "haitsubi@msu.edu",
           role  = c("aut", "cre"),
           comment = c(ORCID = "0009-0004-9871-9677"))
Description: 
    An extended epidemiological modelling framework that goes beyond the
    classical SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model. Supports
    SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered),
    SEIRD (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Deceased),
    SVEIRD (Susceptible-Vaccinated-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Deceased),
    and age-stratified compartmental models with flexible intervention
    functions (spline-based, Gaussian process, or user-defined). Inference
    is available via maximum likelihood or sequential Monte Carlo (SMC,
    also known as particle filtering) with no external binary dependencies.
    Includes a dependency-free real-time effective reproduction number (Rt)
    estimator, spatial multi-patch models with gravity-model mobility,
    ensemble forecasting via Bayesian model averaging (BMA), and proper
    scoring rules including CRPS (Continuous Ranked Probability Score),
    coverage, and MAE (Mean Absolute Error) for forecast evaluation.
    Methods follow Anderson and May (1991, ISBN:9780198545996),
    Doucet, de Freitas, and Gordon (2001) <doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3437-9>,
    Cori et al. (2013) <doi:10.1093/aje/kwt133>,
    and Gneiting and Raftery (2007) <doi:10.1198/016214506000001437>.
License: MIT + file LICENSE
Encoding: UTF-8
RoxygenNote: 7.3.3
Depends: R (>= 4.0.0)
Imports: deSolve, ggplot2, dplyr, tidyr, splines, scales
Suggests: DEoptim, MASS, numDeriv, rstan, TMB, EpiEstim, knitr,
        rmarkdown, testthat (>= 3.0.0), ggpubr, patchwork
Config/testthat/edition: 3
VignetteBuilder: knitr
URL: https://github.com/causalfragility-lab/EpiNova
BugReports: https://github.com/causalfragility-lab/EpiNova/issues
NeedsCompilation: no
Packaged: 2026-04-21 22:48:21 UTC; Subir
Author: Subir Hait [aut, cre] (ORCID: <https://orcid.org/0009-0004-9871-9677>)
Maintainer: Subir Hait <haitsubi@msu.edu>
Repository: CRAN
Date/Publication: 2026-04-22 08:20:26 UTC
Built: R 4.6.0; ; 2026-04-26 17:59:07 UTC; unix
